Championship
Match Analysis
Southampton
Millwall
Southampton
L
W
L
W
W
W
Millwall
W
W
W
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Southampton has had the upper hand in matches between these two teams, often keeping the games tight with few goals. The model predicts a home win with a 46% probability, which is slightly less confident than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a 60% chance that both teams will score and a 52% chance that more than one goal will be scored, suggesting it expects a reasonably open game, though not one that will necessarily be high-scoring. This view aligns with the market’s expectations for goals, which also favor over 1.5 goals and both teams to score.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Millwall | 0 - 0 | January 1, 2026 |
| Millwall | Southampton | 3 - 2 | November 29, 2025 |
| Millwall | Southampton | 0 - 1 | August 3, 2024 |
| Southampton | Millwall | 1 - 2 | February 24, 2024 |
| Millwall | Southampton | 0 - 1 | November 4, 2023 |
| Millwall | Southampton | 0 - 2 | August 26, 2014 |
Southampton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | West Ham | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Stoke City | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Watford | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Colchester | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Preußen Münster | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 - 1 | Win |
Millwall Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Cambridge United | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Norwich | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Bristol City | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | QPR | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Antwerp | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Bromley | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 10 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.93% likelihood that both Southampton and Millwall will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Southampton to win
This prediction indicates that Southampton has a 46.42% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.65 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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