Championship
Match Analysis
Bristol City
Portsmouth
Bristol City
D
L
L
D
D
L
Portsmouth
W
L
L
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Bristol City with a 46% probability. The model sees the teams as closely matched in overall quality, but notes Bristol City's historical dominance in recent meetings, where goals have been hard to come by. The model also observes that both sides are in poor recent form and expect a low-scoring game, aligning with the under predictions for both 1.5 and 2.5 goals. The market odds imply slightly less confidence in a home win and in the under outcomes than the model does.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | Portsmouth | 5 - 0 | January 1, 2026 |
| Portsmouth | Bristol City | 0 - 1 | November 29, 2025 |
| Bristol City | Portsmouth | 3 - 0 | December 29, 2024 |
| Portsmouth | Bristol City | 3 - 0 | December 7, 2024 |
| Portsmouth | Bristol City | 0 - 1 | July 29, 2023 |
| Bristol City | Portsmouth | 0 - 0 | July 12, 2022 |
Bristol City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Birmingham | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Millwall | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Walsall | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Exeter City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Plymouth | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Forest Green | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Portsmouth Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Lincoln | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | QPR | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | West Ham | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | SV Darmstadt 98 | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Farnborough | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Wycombe | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Bristol City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.02% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Bristol City to win
This prediction indicates that Bristol City has a 46.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.78 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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