Championship
Match Analysis
Watford
West Ham
Watford
L
D
W
W
L
W
West Ham
W
L
D
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a 52% chance that West Ham will win, which aligns closely with the market's view since the odds also favor West Ham. The prediction leans toward West Ham due to the clear quality gap in their favor and their history of dominating recent meetings, which often included plenty of goals. Additionally, the model sees a 57% chance that both teams will score and a high likelihood of more than one goal (58% over 1.5) and more than two goals (61% over 2.5), suggesting an open, attacking game, consistent with recent high-scoring encounters between these sides.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | Watford | 1 - 0 | February 8, 2022 |
| Watford | West Ham | 1 - 4 | December 28, 2021 |
| West Ham | Watford | 3 - 1 | July 17, 2020 |
| Watford | West Ham | 1 - 3 | August 24, 2019 |
| Watford | West Ham | 1 - 4 | May 12, 2019 |
| West Ham | Watford | 0 - 2 | December 22, 2018 |
Watford Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Peterborough | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Wrexham | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Southampton | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Crawley Town | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Fiorentina | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Hansa Rostock | 3 - 0 | Win |
West Ham Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Southampton | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Charlton | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Burnley | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Portsmouth | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | 1. FC Magdeburg | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Rangers | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 17 | West Ham | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.27% likelihood that both Watford and West Ham will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.West Ham to win
This prediction indicates that West Ham has a 51.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.89 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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