Championship
Match Analysis
Cardiff
Sheffield Utd
Cardiff
L
D
D
W
W
W
Sheffield Utd
W
D
D
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
There is a clear quality gap favoring the home side, Cardiff, although both teams have shown moderate recent form and are closely matched overall. The model predicts a home win with a 38% probability, which is notably lower than what the market odds suggest for Cardiff, indicating the model is less confident in a home victory than the current betting lines. Additionally, the model sees a good chance that both teams will score and that there will be more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the match, aligning reasonably well with the market odds for those outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | Cardiff | 2 - 0 | April 18, 2025 |
| Sheffield Utd | Cardiff | 0 - 1 | January 9, 2025 |
| Cardiff | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 2 | December 21, 2024 |
| Sheffield Utd | Cardiff | 4 - 1 | April 15, 2023 |
| Cardiff | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 1 | November 12, 2022 |
| Sheffield Utd | Cardiff | 1 - 0 | April 23, 2022 |
Cardiff Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Norwich | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Derby | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Wrexham | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Swindon Town | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | AS Roma | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Forest Green | 1 - 5 | Win |
Sheffield Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Blackburn | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Swansea | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Birmingham | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Mansfield Town | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | VfL Bochum | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Rotherham | 0 - 2 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.89% likelihood that both Cardiff and Sheffield Utd will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Cardiff to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Cardiff has a 37.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.43 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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