La Liga
Match Analysis
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
W
W
L
W
W
W
Atletico Madrid
D
W
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Atletico Madrid has had the upper hand in meetings between these two teams. The model predicts an away win for Atletico Madrid with a 45% probability, reflecting the clear quality gap in their favor, even though both sides are in strong recent form. The model also sees a good chance that both teams will score (54%) and that there will be more than one goal in the game (56%), views that align closely with the market odds, which also favor an away win, additional goals, and both teams to score.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Atletico Madrid | 2 - 1 | April 11, 2026 |
| Atletico Madrid | Sevilla | 3 - 0 | November 1, 2025 |
| Sevilla | Atletico Madrid | 1 - 2 | April 6, 2025 |
| Atletico Madrid | Sevilla | 4 - 3 | December 8, 2024 |
| Sevilla | Atletico Madrid | 1 - 0 | February 11, 2024 |
| Atletico Madrid | Sevilla | 1 - 0 | January 25, 2024 |
Sevilla Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Athletic Club | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Rayo Vallecano | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Utrecht | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | NEC Nijmegen | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | AD Ceuta FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
Atletico Madrid Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Villarreal | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Malaga | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Marseille | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Manchester City | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Manchester United | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Getafe | 4 - 1 | Win |
La Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sevilla | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 6 | Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.19% likelihood that both Sevilla and Atletico Madrid will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Atletico Madrid to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Madrid has a 44.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.84 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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