Championship
Match Analysis
Wolves
Stoke City
Wolves
W
W
D
W
W
W
Stoke City
D
L
L
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Wolves come into the match with strong recent form, while Stoke City have struggled recently. Despite Stoke City having a history of good results against Wolves, the model sees a clear quality gap favoring the home side. The model predicts a home win with a 64% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also suggests there's a good chance both teams will score and that the game will see more than two goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | Wolves | 1 - 1 | July 26, 2025 |
| Stoke City | Wolves | 1 - 1 | July 31, 2021 |
| Wolves | Stoke City | 0 - 1 | September 17, 2020 |
| Stoke City | Wolves | 0 - 2 | January 7, 2017 |
| Stoke City | Wolves | 2 - 1 | April 7, 2012 |
| Wolves | Stoke City | 1 - 2 | December 17, 2011 |
Wolves Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Sheffield Wednesday | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Preston | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Blackburn | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Port Vale | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Racing Santander | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Doncaster | 0 - 2 | Win |
Stoke City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Hull City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Southampton | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Swansea | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Oldham | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Valencia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Everton | 1 - 0 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wolves | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.4% likelihood that both Wolves and Stoke City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Wolves to win
This prediction indicates that Wolves has a 64.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.25 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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