Championship
Match Analysis
Middlesbrough
West Brom
Middlesbrough
W
L
W
W
D
L
West Brom
L
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The two sides are closely matched in overall quality, but Middlesbrough has dominated recent meetings between the teams. The model predicts a home win with a 53% probability, which is notably more confident in Middlesbrough than the market odds suggest. The model also sees a good chance of both teams scoring and of there being more than two goals in the match, aligning closely with the market's view on these points.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | Middlesbrough | 2 - 3 | January 16, 2026 |
| Middlesbrough | West Brom | 2 - 1 | September 19, 2025 |
| Middlesbrough | West Brom | 2 - 0 | January 21, 2025 |
| West Brom | Middlesbrough | 0 - 1 | October 1, 2024 |
| Middlesbrough | West Brom | 1 - 0 | December 23, 2023 |
| West Brom | Middlesbrough | 4 - 2 | August 26, 2023 |
Middlesbrough Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Away | Doncaster | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Blackburn | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Lincoln | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Wrexham | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Espanyol | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Huddersfield | 1 - 3 | Loss |
West Brom Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Newcastle | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Burnley | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Norwich | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Rotherham | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Peterborough | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Shrewsbury | 1 - 4 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | West Brom | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.97% likelihood that both Middlesbrough and West Brom will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Middlesbrough to win
This prediction indicates that Middlesbrough has a 52.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.94 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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