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Championship
Norwich logo Norwich
Aug. 29, 2026 9 hours from now VS
Burnley logo Burnley

Match Analysis

Norwich Burnley
Norwich W L L W D L
Burnley D L D D L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Norwich with a 38% probability. Norwich has a modest quality edge and better recent form compared to Burnley, which might give them an advantage. However, Burnley has historically dominated recent meetings between the two teams, which could limit Norwich's edge. The model's confidence in a home win is notable but not overwhelming, sitting between what the current market odds imply.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Burnley Norwich 2 - 1 April 11, 2025
Norwich Burnley 1 - 2 December 15, 2024
Norwich Burnley 0 - 3 February 4, 2023
Burnley Norwich 1 - 0 October 25, 2022
Norwich Burnley 2 - 0 April 10, 2022
Burnley Norwich 0 - 0 October 2, 2021

Norwich Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Away Cardiff 1 - 2 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Millwall 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home West Brom 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Milton Keynes Dons 4 - 1 Win
Aug 4, 26 Home Cambridge United 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Osasuna 1 - 2 Loss

Burnley Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 26, 26 Away Bradford 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Away West Brom 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home West Ham 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Notts County 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Torino 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 29, 26 Home Espanyol 2 - 2 Draw

Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
19 Burnley 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1
24 Norwich 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.63% likelihood that both Norwich and Burnley will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Norwich to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Norwich has a 37.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.67 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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