Bundesliga logo

Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund logo Borussia Dortmund
Aug. 29, 2026 12 hours from now VS
Hamburger SV logo Hamburger SV

Match Analysis

Borussia Dortmund Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund D W L L W W
Hamburger SV W W D L W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Borussia Dortmund is seen as the stronger side in this match due to a clear quality gap in their favor. The model predicts a home win with a 73% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds imply. Additionally, the model expects an open game with both teams likely to score and more than 2.5 goals overall, aligning with the market view on these points but showing stronger confidence in the over 2.5 goals outcome.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Borussia Dortmund Hamburger SV 3 - 2 March 21, 2026
Hamburger SV Borussia Dortmund 1 - 1 November 8, 2025
Borussia Dortmund Hamburger SV 2 - 0 February 10, 2018
Hamburger SV Borussia Dortmund 0 - 3 September 20, 2017
Borussia Dortmund Hamburger SV 3 - 0 April 4, 2017
Hamburger SV Borussia Dortmund 2 - 5 November 5, 2016

Borussia Dortmund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home AS Roma 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away FC Tokyo 0 - 1 Win
Jul 29, 26 Away Cerezo Osaka 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Away Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1 - 3 Win
May 16, 26 Away Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Win

Hamburger SV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 24, 26 Away Verl 0 - 3 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Toulouse 1 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Lille 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Everton 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away FC Heidenheim 1 - 3 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away Rapid Vienna 3 - 2 Loss

Bundesliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Hamburger SV 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Borussia Dortmund 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.19% likelihood that both Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Borussia Dortmund to win
This prediction indicates that Borussia Dortmund has a 73.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.18 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]
This comment has been removed
[[ comment.user.username ]]
[[ comment.comment ]]
[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply

Bundesliga

Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt 9 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 9 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen 9 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › RB Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach 9 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. › 1.FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim 9 hours from now · 4:30 p.m. ›