Serie A
Match Analysis
Juventus
Parma
Juventus
W
W
L
W
W
W
Parma
L
W
L
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts Juventus will win with a 73% probability. This outlook is supported by a clear quality gap favoring Juventus, their strong recent form compared to Parma’s poor form, and their history of dominating recent meetings between the two sides. Additionally, Juventus has shown strong attacking form and created more shooting chances recently, aligning with the over/under predictions leaning toward more goals. The market odds also reflect confidence in a home win, similar to the model's high probability.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | Juventus | 1 - 4 | February 1, 2026 |
| Juventus | Parma | 2 - 0 | August 24, 2025 |
| Parma | Juventus | 1 - 0 | April 23, 2025 |
| Juventus | Parma | 2 - 2 | October 30, 2024 |
| Juventus | Parma | 3 - 1 | April 21, 2021 |
| Parma | Juventus | 0 - 4 | December 19, 2020 |
Juventus Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Frosinone | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Palermo | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Inter | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Chelsea | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Nice | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Standard Liege | 0 - 1 | Win |
Parma Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Cagliari | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Catania | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Sampdoria | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Iraklis 1908 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Arezzo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Trento | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.22% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Juventus to win
This prediction indicates that Juventus has a 73.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.35 %Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments