Championship
Match Analysis
Charlton
Preston
Charlton
L
W
W
W
L
W
Preston
L
L
L
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Charlton with a 47% probability. The model sees a clear quality gap favoring Charlton and notes that Charlton has moderate recent form, while Preston has poor recent form. However, the model also acknowledges that Preston has dominated recent meetings with many goals scored, which may add some uncertainty. The market odds for a home win are slightly higher than the model's probability, indicating that bookmakers are a bit more confident in Charlton's chances than the model is.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | Preston | 1 - 2 | April 11, 2026 |
| Preston | Charlton | 2 - 0 | October 4, 2025 |
| Preston | Charlton | 2 - 1 | January 14, 2025 |
| Preston | Charlton | 2 - 1 | January 18, 2020 |
| Charlton | Preston | 0 - 1 | November 3, 2019 |
| Preston | Charlton | 2 - 1 | February 23, 2016 |
Charlton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Tottenham | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | West Ham | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Derby | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Cheltenham | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Reading | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Colchester | 0 - 2 | Win |
Preston Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Everton | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Wolves | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Bolton | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Huddersfield | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Stockport County | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Bradford | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Charlton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 21 | Preston | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.63% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Charlton to win
This prediction indicates that Charlton has a 46.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.46 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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