Premier League
Match Analysis
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
D
D
L
L
W
W
Nottingham Forest
L
L
W
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Liverpool holds a modest quality edge over Nottingham Forest, but their recent form has been poor compared to Forest's moderate form. Despite this, the model predicts a home win with a 68% probability, which is notably higher than what the current market odds suggest. The model also leans toward both teams scoring and toward there being more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the match, seeing these outcomes as somewhat more likely than the market odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | Liverpool | 0 - 1 | February 22, 2026 |
| Liverpool | Nottingham Forest | 0 - 3 | November 22, 2025 |
| Nottingham Forest | Liverpool | 1 - 1 | January 14, 2025 |
| Liverpool | Nottingham Forest | 0 - 1 | September 14, 2024 |
| Nottingham Forest | Liverpool | 0 - 1 | March 2, 2024 |
| Liverpool | Nottingham Forest | 3 - 0 | October 29, 2023 |
Liverpool Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Newcastle | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | como | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Monaco | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Leeds | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Wrexham | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Sunderland | 4 - 2 | Win |
Nottingham Forest Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Leeds | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Leeds | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Stade Brestois 29 | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Home | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Udinese | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Barcelona | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.55% likelihood that both Liverpool and Nottingham Forest will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Liverpool to win
This prediction indicates that Liverpool has a 67.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.75 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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