Premier League
Match Analysis
Tottenham
Newcastle
Tottenham
W
L
D
W
D
W
Newcastle
W
D
D
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Newcastle has had the upper hand against Tottenham, and those encounters tended to be high-scoring affairs. However, the model sees Tottenham's moderate recent form against Newcastle's poor form as a key factor, tipping the balance slightly in Tottenham's favor. The model predicts a home win with a 40% probability, which is notably more confident in Tottenham than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to exceed two goals, aligning closely with the market's view on these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | Newcastle | 1 - 2 | February 10, 2026 |
| Newcastle | Tottenham | 2 - 2 | December 2, 2025 |
| Newcastle | Tottenham | 2 - 0 | October 29, 2025 |
| Tottenham | Newcastle | 1 - 1 | August 3, 2025 |
| Tottenham | Newcastle | 1 - 2 | January 4, 2025 |
| Newcastle | Tottenham | 2 - 1 | September 1, 2024 |
Tottenham Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Charlton | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Brentford | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Getafe | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Chelsea | 1 - 2 | Win |
Newcastle Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | West Brom | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Liverpool | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Strasbourg | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 12, 26 | Home | Everton | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Valencia | 1 - 2 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.94% likelihood that both Tottenham and Newcastle will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Tottenham or Newcastle to win
This prediction indicates that Tottenham has a 39.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.03 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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