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3. Liga
SV Wehen logo SV Wehen
Aug. 29, 2026 5 hours from now VS
Rot-Weiß Essen logo Rot-Weiß Essen

Match Analysis

SV Wehen Rot-Weiß Essen
SV Wehen L L L L W L
Rot-Weiß Essen W W L L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Rot-Weiß Essen with a 46% probability. Despite SV Wehen's historical dominance in recent meetings and the tendency for many goals in those games, the current context shows a clear quality gap favoring Rot-Weiß Essen, along with SV Wehen's poor recent form and only moderate form for the away side. The model also sees a high likelihood of both teams scoring (57%) and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals (61% for both), aligning with the recent trend of many goals when these teams meet. The market odds reflect less confidence in the away win compared to the model's prediction, as the odds imply a stronger favor towards the home side.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Rot-Weiß Essen SV Wehen 1 - 1 February 1, 2026
SV Wehen Rot-Weiß Essen 3 - 4 August 22, 2025
SV Wehen Rot-Weiß Essen 1 - 3 February 15, 2025
Rot-Weiß Essen SV Wehen 0 - 3 September 14, 2024
Rot-Weiß Essen SV Wehen 1 - 3 March 25, 2023
SV Wehen Rot-Weiß Essen 3 - 1 October 2, 2022

SV Wehen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Bayer Leverkusen 0 - 4 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Away FC Wurzburger Kickers 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Preußen Münster 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Eintracht Frankfurt II 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Bayern München 2 - 1 Win
Jul 18, 26 Away FC Liefering 2 - 0 Loss

Rot-Weiß Essen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Home FC St. Pauli 2 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Havelse 1 - 0 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away FC Saarbrücken 5 - 2 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Borussia Monchengladbach 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Ried 3 - 0 Loss

3. Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
14 Rot-Weiß Essen 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
20 SV Wehen 2 0 0 2 1 7 -6 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.96% likelihood that both SV Wehen and Rot-Weiß Essen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Rot-Weiß Essen to win
This prediction indicates that Rot-Weiß Essen has a 46.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.08 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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