3. Liga
Match Analysis
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
FC Ingolstadt 04
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
D
L
W
L
D
W
FC Ingolstadt 04
D
D
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for FC Ingolstadt 04 with a 49% probability. The model sees FC Ingolstadt 04 as the stronger side due to a clear quality gap in their favor and they have a rest advantage. However, both teams are in poor recent form, which adds some uncertainty. The market odds also suggest FC Ingolstadt 04 are favored, but the model's confidence is somewhat lower than what the odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 1 - 1 | June 7, 2020 |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1 - 5 | October 5, 2019 |
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | SV Meppen | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Fortuna Koln | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 - 7 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | VfR Aalen | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Hoffenheim II | 2 - 0 | Win |
FC Ingolstadt 04 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Preußen Münster | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | FC Wurzburger Kickers | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | FC Heidenheim | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | RB Leipzig | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Palermo | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Lask Linz | 2 - 0 | Win |
3. Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.31% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.FC Ingolstadt 04 to win
This prediction indicates that FC Ingolstadt 04 has a 48.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.62 %Most Likely Scorelines
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