3. Liga
Match Analysis
Alemannia Aachen
SV Meppen
Alemannia Aachen
D
W
L
W
D
W
SV Meppen
W
L
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match between Alemannia Aachen and SV Meppen features a clear quality gap favoring the home side, Alemannia Aachen. Despite SV Meppen's strong recent form and attacking tendencies, the model predicts a home win with a 66% probability, which is notably higher than what the market odds imply. The model also suggests a likely goal-scoring game, predicting 'Over 1.5 goals' with 64% confidence—a view that aligns with the market's strong inclination towards a higher-scoring match. Additionally, there's a 55% chance both teams will score, slightly below the market's expectation.
Alemannia Aachen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Fortuna Koln | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Verl | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Eintracht Trier | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Roda | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Waalwijk | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | SV Breinig | 0 - 5 | Win |
SV Meppen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | MSV Duisburg | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Schalke 04 II | 8 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | SSV Jeddeloh | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Feb 7, 26 | Home | FC 08 Homburg | 1 - 4 | Loss |
3. Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Alemannia Aachen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 12 | SV Meppen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.41% likelihood that both Alemannia Aachen and SV Meppen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Alemannia Aachen to win
This prediction indicates that Alemannia Aachen has a 66.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.07 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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