3. Liga
Match Analysis
MSV Duisburg
FC Wurzburger Kickers
MSV Duisburg
L
W
W
D
D
L
FC Wurzburger Kickers
L
W
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model sees MSV Duisburg as the stronger side due to a clear quality gap in their favor and their historical dominance in recent meetings against FC Wurzburger Kickers. Despite the Kickers' strong recent form and attacking momentum, Duisburg's moderate form, rest advantage, and recent creation of many shooting chances tilt the prediction toward a home win. The model gives a 61% chance of a Duisburg victory, which is notably higher confidence than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's view on these points.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers | MSV Duisburg | 1 - 2 | February 12, 2022 |
| MSV Duisburg | FC Wurzburger Kickers | 2 - 0 | September 4, 2021 |
| MSV Duisburg | FC Wurzburger Kickers | 1 - 1 | June 13, 2020 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers | MSV Duisburg | 0 - 2 | October 26, 2019 |
MSV Duisburg Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | SV Elversberg | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Verl | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | SV Meppen | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Beerschot Wilrijk | 2 - 4 | Loss |
FC Wurzburger Kickers Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | 1.FC Köln | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | SV Wehen | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | FSV Frankfurt | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | SG Wattenscheid 09 | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | VfR Aalen | 3 - 1 | Loss |
3. Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Wurzburger Kickers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.93% likelihood that both MSV Duisburg and FC Wurzburger Kickers will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.MSV Duisburg to win
This prediction indicates that MSV Duisburg has a 60.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.11 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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