Ettan - Södra
Match Analysis
Skövde AIK
Kristianstad
Skövde AIK
L
D
L
L
D
L
Kristianstad
L
W
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Kristianstad with a 41% probability. Despite Kristianstad having a modest quality edge, both teams are in poor recent form and have similar rest, which makes the match uncertain. The model also sees a good chance that both teams will score and that there will be more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, each with a 55% probability. The market odds suggest a closer contest for the away win and are less confident about over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring than the model.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kristianstad | Skövde AIK | 0 - 0 | April 11, 2026 |
| Skövde AIK | Kristianstad | 4 - 0 | September 1, 2019 |
| Kristianstad | Skövde AIK | 0 - 1 | April 22, 2019 |
| Skövde AIK | Kristianstad | 0 - 0 | September 1, 2018 |
| Kristianstad | Skövde AIK | 3 - 3 | May 19, 2018 |
| Kristianstad | Skövde AIK | 2 - 1 | October 21, 2017 |
Skövde AIK Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Atvidabergs FF | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Lund | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Olympic | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Lund | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Hässleholms IF | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Rosengård | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Kristianstad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Tvååker | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Angelholms FF | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Lilla Torg | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Eskilsminne | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | trelleborgs FF | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Laholm | 0 - 3 | Loss |
Ettan - Södra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kristianstad | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 17 |
| 15 | Skövde AIK | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.03% likelihood that both Skövde AIK and Kristianstad will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Skövde AIK or Kristianstad to win
This prediction indicates that Kristianstad has a 41.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.47 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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