Ettan - Södra
Match Analysis
Tvååker
Skövde AIK
Tvååker
W
W
L
D
L
W
Skövde AIK
W
L
D
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Tvååker with a 44% probability. Tvååker are seen as the stronger side due to a clear quality gap in their favor and have shown strong attacking form recently, while Skövde AIK have poor recent form. The market odds also suggest Tvååker are favored, though the model’s confidence is somewhat lower than what the odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for both teams to score (60%) and for the match to have more than 1.5 goals (62%), both of which align with the market’s view that such outcomes are likely.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skövde AIK | Tvååker | 0 - 0 | April 6, 2026 |
| Skövde AIK | Tvååker | 1 - 1 | September 25, 2021 |
| Tvååker | Skövde AIK | 0 - 2 | June 19, 2021 |
| Tvååker | Skövde AIK | 2 - 1 | October 17, 2020 |
| Skövde AIK | Tvååker | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2020 |
| Skövde AIK | Tvååker | 2 - 3 | September 29, 2019 |
Tvååker Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Olympic | 3 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Kristianstad | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Atvidabergs FF | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Utsikten | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Hässleholms IF | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Angelholms FF | 3 - 2 | Win |
Skövde AIK Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Kristianstad | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Atvidabergs FF | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Lund | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Olympic | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Lund | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Hässleholms IF | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Ettan - Södra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tvååker | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Skövde AIK | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 20 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.43% likelihood that both Tvååker and Skövde AIK will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Tvååker to win
This prediction indicates that Tvååker has a 44.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.03 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments