Ettan - Södra
Match Analysis
Rosengård
Trollhättan
Rosengård
D
D
D
W
L
D
Trollhättan
W
W
L
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Rosengård holds a modest quality edge over Trollhättan, but Trollhättan’s recent form is stronger, making this a closely matched contest. The model predicts a home win with a 58% probability, which aligns closely with the market odds that also favor Rosengård. Additionally, the model sees a good chance for both teams to score (56%) and for the match to feature more than one or two goals (58% and 59%, respectively), views that are slightly more confident than what the current odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trollhättan | Rosengård | 0 - 2 | May 2, 2026 |
| Rosengård | Trollhättan | 1 - 3 | August 23, 2025 |
| Trollhättan | Rosengård | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2025 |
| Trollhättan | Rosengård | 2 - 1 | August 4, 2024 |
| Rosengård | Trollhättan | 1 - 1 | June 15, 2024 |
Rosengård Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Jonkopings Sodra | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Utsikten | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Eskilsminne | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Jonkopings Sodra | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | FA 2000 | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Atvidabergs FF | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Trollhättan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | trelleborgs FF | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Angelholms FF | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Laholm | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Laholm | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Stenungsund | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Angelholms FF | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Ettan - Södra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rosengård | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 22 | +6 | 28 |
| 11 | Trollhättan | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.23% likelihood that both Rosengård and Trollhättan will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Rosengård to win
This prediction indicates that Rosengård has a 58.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.35 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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