Ettan - Södra
Match Analysis
Angelholms FF
Jonkopings Sodra
Angelholms FF
L
L
L
D
D
L
Jonkopings Sodra
D
D
W
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model sees Jonkopings Sodra as the stronger side heading into this match. Despite both teams having struggled recently, Jonkopings Sodra's overall quality gives them the edge. The model predicts a 48% chance that Jonkopings Sodra will win, which aligns closely with the market's view since the odds also favor them. However, the model expects fewer goals than the market, leaning toward an under 1.5 and under 2.5 goals outcome, unlike the odds which slightly favor more goals.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonkopings Sodra | Angelholms FF | 3 - 0 | May 24, 2026 |
| Jonkopings Sodra | Angelholms FF | 0 - 0 | August 9, 2025 |
| Angelholms FF | Jonkopings Sodra | 1 - 2 | June 19, 2025 |
| Angelholms FF | Jonkopings Sodra | 2 - 2 | September 8, 2024 |
| Jonkopings Sodra | Angelholms FF | 1 - 2 | May 27, 2024 |
Angelholms FF Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Atvidabergs FF | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Trollhättan | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Kristianstad | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Ariana | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Trollhättan | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | Tvååker | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Jonkopings Sodra Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Rosengård | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Laholm | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Olympic | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Rosengård | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Ariana | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Lund | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Ettan - Södra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jonkopings Sodra | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 19 | +5 | 23 |
| 13 | Angelholms FF | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Jonkopings Sodra to win
This prediction indicates that Jonkopings Sodra has a 47.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.42 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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