Ettan - Södra
Match Analysis
Kristianstad
Atvidabergs FF
Kristianstad
L
L
W
D
L
D
Atvidabergs FF
W
W
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model sees a clear quality gap favoring Atvidabergs FF, who also have stronger recent form compared to Kristianstad's poor form. The prediction is that Atvidabergs FF will win, with a 51% chance according to the model, which is notably more confident in the away win than the market odds suggest. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning with the recent trend of plenty of goals in meetings between these sides and Atvidabergs FF's strong attacking form.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atvidabergs FF | Kristianstad | 2 - 1 | April 19, 2026 |
| Kristianstad | Atvidabergs FF | 1 - 2 | October 13, 2019 |
| Atvidabergs FF | Kristianstad | 1 - 2 | June 29, 2019 |
| Kristianstad | Atvidabergs FF | 1 - 0 | November 10, 2018 |
| Atvidabergs FF | Kristianstad | 1 - 1 | May 27, 2018 |
Kristianstad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Skövde AIK | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Tvååker | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Angelholms FF | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Lilla Torg | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Eskilsminne | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | trelleborgs FF | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Atvidabergs FF Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Angelholms FF | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Skövde AIK | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Tvååker | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Hässleholms IF | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Rosengård | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | Utsikten | 0 - 3 | Win |
Ettan - Södra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atvidabergs FF | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 23 | +15 | 35 |
| 15 | Kristianstad | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.05% likelihood that both Kristianstad and Atvidabergs FF will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Atvidabergs FF to win
This prediction indicates that Atvidabergs FF has a 50.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.46 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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