Ettan - Södra
Match Analysis
Lund
Olympic
Lund
W
L
D
D
W
D
Olympic
L
D
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Lund holds a modest quality advantage over Olympic, and historical meetings between the two have often been high-scoring affairs. The model predicts a home win with a 53% probability, which is slightly more confident than the market odds imply. It also expects both teams to score (59% probability) and for the match to have more than 1.5 goals (65% probability), both of which align with the model's flagging of these outcomes as sure tips and are notably more confident than the market odds suggest.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic | Lund | 1 - 3 | June 3, 2026 |
| Olympic | Lund | 3 - 2 | September 20, 2025 |
| Lund | Olympic | 2 - 1 | June 6, 2025 |
| Lund | Olympic | 4 - 1 | August 31, 2024 |
| Olympic | Lund | 1 - 2 | May 27, 2024 |
| Lund | Olympic | 2 - 2 | August 18, 2023 |
Lund Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Ariana | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Hässleholms IF | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Skövde AIK | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | trelleborgs FF | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Skövde AIK | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | Jonkopings Sodra | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Olympic Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Tvååker | 3 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Ariana | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Jonkopings Sodra | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Skövde AIK | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Hässleholms IF | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Tasmania Berlin | 3 - 4 | Win |
Ettan - Södra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lund | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 31 |
| 10 | Olympic | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 23 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.29% likelihood that both Lund and Olympic will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Lund to win
This prediction indicates that Lund has a 52.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.38 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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