Ettan - Södra
Match Analysis
Jonkopings Sodra
Rosengård
Jonkopings Sodra
D
W
L
L
D
L
Rosengård
D
D
W
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Jonkopings Sodra carries a modest quality edge over Rosengård, but their poor recent form contrasts with Rosengård's moderate recent performance. Despite this, Jonkopings Sodra has historically dominated recent meetings and has shown strong attacking form recently. The model predicts a home win with a 41% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also suggests a higher likelihood of both teams scoring and more than one or two goals overall, aligning somewhat more confidently with the market for those outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rosengård | Jonkopings Sodra | 4 - 2 | August 2, 2026 |
| Rosengård | Jonkopings Sodra | 0 - 1 | August 2, 2025 |
| Jonkopings Sodra | Rosengård | 3 - 0 | May 17, 2025 |
| Rosengård | Jonkopings Sodra | 0 - 2 | October 13, 2024 |
| Jonkopings Sodra | Rosengård | 1 - 3 | April 27, 2024 |
Jonkopings Sodra Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Laholm | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Olympic | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Rosengård | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Ariana | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 18, 26 | Home | Lund | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Tvååker | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Rosengård Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Utsikten | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Eskilsminne | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Jonkopings Sodra | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | FA 2000 | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 27, 26 | Away | Atvidabergs FF | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jun 18, 26 | Away | trelleborgs FF | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Ettan - Södra Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rosengård | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | +6 | 27 |
| 10 | Jonkopings Sodra | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 19 | +5 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.41% likelihood that both Jonkopings Sodra and Rosengård will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Jonkopings Sodra to win
This prediction indicates that Jonkopings Sodra has a 40.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.90 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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