3. Liga
Match Analysis
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Stuttgart II
Fortuna Dusseldorf
L
L
L
W
L
W
Stuttgart II
L
W
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Fortuna Dusseldorf with a 52% probability. Despite Dusseldorf having a clear quality gap in their favor and creating more shooting chances recently, their poor recent form is balanced by Stuttgart II's moderate form and notable rest advantage. The market odds also suggest a slight edge to the home side, though the model shows a modest confidence level compared to what the odds imply. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance of both teams scoring, with a 59% probability, aligning with the market's view that this outcome is likely.
Fortuna Dusseldorf Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | SC Freiburg | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Hoffenheim II | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Waldhof Mannheim | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Borussia Dortmund | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Lask Linz | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Ružomberok | 2 - 0 | Win |
Stuttgart II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | FC Viktoria Köln | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Havelse | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | FC Astoria Walldorf | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | SSV Ulm 1846 | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Normannia Gmünd | 0 - 3 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Home | VfL Osnabruck | 3 - 4 | Loss |
3. Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Stuttgart II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.58% likelihood that both Fortuna Dusseldorf and Stuttgart II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Fortuna Dusseldorf to win
This prediction indicates that Fortuna Dusseldorf has a 51.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.96 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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