Bundesliga
Match Analysis
RB Leipzig
Borussia Monchengladbach
RB Leipzig
W
L
L
W
W
W
Borussia Monchengladbach
W
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an RB Leipzig home win with a 61% probability. While RB Leipzig has a modest quality edge and has dominated recent meetings, Borussia Monchengladbach's strong recent form adds uncertainty. The market odds imply a higher likelihood of a home win than the model's view. The model also leans toward goals being scored, predicting both teams to score and that the match will exceed 2.5 goals, and flags the over/under 2.5 goals outcome as a strong tip, seeing more chances for goals than the market odds suggest.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | Borussia Monchengladbach | 1 - 0 | April 11, 2026 |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | RB Leipzig | 0 - 0 | November 28, 2025 |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | RB Leipzig | 1 - 0 | March 29, 2025 |
| RB Leipzig | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 - 0 | November 9, 2024 |
| RB Leipzig | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2 - 0 | February 17, 2024 |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | RB Leipzig | 0 - 1 | September 23, 2023 |
RB Leipzig Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Eintracht Trier | 0 - 6 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Bayern München | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Leeds | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Verl | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Altglienicke | 1 - 2 | Win |
Borussia Monchengladbach Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Schott Mainz | 0 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Aston Villa | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | SSVg Velbert | 0 - 8 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Hansa Rostock | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Rot-Weiß Essen | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Wuppertaler SV | 0 - 6 | Win |
Bundesliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.61% likelihood that both RB Leipzig and Borussia Monchengladbach will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.RB Leipzig to win
This prediction indicates that RB Leipzig has a 61.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.93 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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