Bundesliga
Match Analysis
SV Elversberg
Bayer Leverkusen
SV Elversberg
W
W
D
W
W
L
Bayer Leverkusen
W
W
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Bayer Leverkusen has a clear quality advantage over SV Elversberg, which strongly influences the prediction. The model predicts an away win with a 57% probability, which aligns closely with the market odds that also favor Leverkusen. Additionally, both teams are in strong recent form and SV Elversberg has been attacking well, leading the model to also predict that both sides will score (59%) and that there will be more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the match (66% and 65% respectively), views that are supported by the market odds.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | SV Elversberg | 3 - 0 | October 29, 2024 |
| SV Elversberg | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 - 3 | July 30, 2022 |
SV Elversberg Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | MSV Duisburg | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Lorient | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Mallorca | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Strasbourg | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | NEC Nijmegen | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | FC Viktoria Köln | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Bayer Leverkusen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | SV Wehen | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Newcastle | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | Nottingham Forest | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sevilla | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Genk | 4 - 0 | Win |
Bundesliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SV Elversberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.16% likelihood that both SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Bayer Leverkusen to win
This prediction indicates that Bayer Leverkusen has a 56.55% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.61 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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