Bundesliga
Match Analysis
1.FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim
1.FC Köln
W
W
D
W
L
L
1899 Hoffenheim
W
D
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, meetings between Köln and Hoffenheim have often ended in draws and featured plenty of goals. The model predicts an away win with a 41% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds suggest for Hoffenheim's chances. Despite the quality gap favoring Hoffenheim and both teams' strong recent form, the model also sees a 61% chance that both teams will score, aligning closely with the market's view on this outcome. Additionally, the model expects more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the match, with probabilities of 61% and 64% respectively, suggesting more goals than the odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.FC Köln | 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 - 2 | February 21, 2026 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.FC Köln | 0 - 1 | October 3, 2025 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.FC Köln | 1 - 1 | February 11, 2024 |
| 1.FC Köln | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 - 3 | September 16, 2023 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.FC Köln | 1 - 3 | April 22, 2023 |
| 1.FC Köln | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 - 1 | October 30, 2022 |
1.FC Köln Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | FC Wurzburger Kickers | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Real Sociedad | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Hertha BSC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Bergisch Gladbach | 0 - 8 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Bayern München | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Home | FC Heidenheim | 1 - 3 | Loss |
1899 Hoffenheim Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Erzgebirge AUE | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Tottenham | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Tottenham | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Karlsruher SC | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Holstein Kiel | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | SGV Freiberg | 0 - 3 | Win |
Bundesliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 1.FC Köln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.95% likelihood that both 1.FC Köln and 1899 Hoffenheim will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.1899 Hoffenheim to win
This prediction indicates that 1899 Hoffenheim has a 40.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.65 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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