Bundesliga
Match Analysis
Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
Bayern München
W
W
W
L
L
W
VfB Stuttgart
W
L
W
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Bayern München with a 75% probability. Bayern's clear quality advantage and historical dominance in recent meetings support this prediction, despite Stuttgart’s strong recent form. The model also anticipates both teams to score (62% probability), and expects the match to feature more than 1.5 goals (78% probability) and more than 2.5 goals (80% probability), aligning with Bayern's strong attacking shape and the high-scoring nature of their past encounters. The market odds reflect similar confidence in the home win and the over/under outcomes, though the model shows slightly more confidence in a high-scoring game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | VfB Stuttgart | 3 - 0 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bayern München | VfB Stuttgart | 4 - 2 | April 19, 2026 |
| VfB Stuttgart | Bayern München | 0 - 5 | December 6, 2025 |
| VfB Stuttgart | Bayern München | 1 - 3 | February 28, 2025 |
| Bayern München | VfB Stuttgart | 4 - 0 | October 19, 2024 |
| VfB Stuttgart | Bayern München | 3 - 1 | May 4, 2024 |
Bayern München Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | FC Heidenheim | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | RB Leipzig | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Aston Villa | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Jeju United FC | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | SV Wehen | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | VfB Stuttgart | 3 - 0 | Win |
VfB Stuttgart Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Hansa Rostock | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Fulham | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Everton | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Paris FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Kickers Offenbach | 1 - 8 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Hollenbach | 0 - 5 | Win |
Bundesliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bayern München | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.4% likelihood that both Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Bayern München to win
This prediction indicates that Bayern München has a 75.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.10 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 79.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 77.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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