Serie A
Match Analysis
Venezia
Lecce
Venezia
W
D
L
W
W
W
Lecce
L
W
W
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, matches between Venezia and Lecce have often ended in draws, indicating a competitive balance in their past encounters. However, the model predicts a home win for Venezia with a 44% probability, factoring in Venezia's clear quality advantage, strong recent form, and additional rest. The model also sees Venezia’s recent attacking strength and Lecce’s defensive issues as reasons for this lean towards a home victory, although it acknowledges the market odds imply a slightly less confident view of a home win.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | Venezia | 1 - 1 | April 6, 2025 |
| Venezia | Lecce | 0 - 1 | November 25, 2024 |
| Lecce | Venezia | 1 - 1 | May 20, 2021 |
| Venezia | Lecce | 1 - 0 | May 17, 2021 |
| Venezia | Lecce | 2 - 3 | March 16, 2021 |
| Lecce | Venezia | 2 - 2 | December 5, 2020 |
Venezia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Modena | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Stade Brestois 29 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Saint Etienne | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | Galatasaray | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Vis Pesaro | 8 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 4 - 2 | Win |
Lecce Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Palermo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | SS Monopoli | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Bistrica | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Istra 1961 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Szombathelyi Haladas | 0 - 1 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.15% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Venezia to win
This prediction indicates that Venezia has a 44.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.17 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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