Serie A
Match Analysis
Monza
Udinese
Monza
L
W
D
L
W
W
Udinese
D
W
W
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Udinese is seen as a slightly stronger side compared to Monza. The model predicts an away win with a 36% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply. While recent meetings between these teams have often ended in draws with many goals, the model also suggests that both teams are unlikely to score in this match and that the game will likely stay under 2.5 goals overall.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | Monza | 1 - 2 | May 11, 2025 |
| Monza | Udinese | 1 - 2 | December 9, 2024 |
| Udinese | Monza | 0 - 0 | February 3, 2024 |
| Monza | Udinese | 1 - 1 | October 29, 2023 |
| Udinese | Monza | 2 - 2 | April 8, 2023 |
| Udinese | Monza | 2 - 3 | October 19, 2022 |
Monza Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Inter | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Avellino | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Padova | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Galatasaray | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | PRO Vercelli | 4 - 3 | Win |
Udinese Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | como | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Padova | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Barcelona | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Trabzonspor | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | FSV Mainz 05 | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Monza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.43% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Udinese to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Udinese has a 36.22% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.74 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments