Serie A
Match Analysis
Sassuolo
Torino
Sassuolo
L
W
L
L
D
D
Torino
L
W
D
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
In recent head-to-head matches, Torino has generally had the upper hand over Sassuolo. Despite the teams being closely matched in overall quality, Sassuolo's poor recent form contrasts with Torino's more stable performance. The model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds imply. The model also sees the match as likely to have fewer than 2.5 goals, aligning with the market's leaning toward an under outcome.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | Sassuolo | 2 - 1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Sassuolo | Torino | 0 - 1 | December 21, 2025 |
| Sassuolo | Torino | 1 - 1 | February 10, 2024 |
| Torino | Sassuolo | 2 - 1 | November 6, 2023 |
| Sassuolo | Torino | 1 - 1 | April 3, 2023 |
| Torino | Sassuolo | 0 - 1 | September 17, 2022 |
Sassuolo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Cesena | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | FC Augsburg | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Celta Vigo | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Folgore Caratese | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Parma | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Torino Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | AC Milan | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Carrarese | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Avellino | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Burnley | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Cittadella | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Alcione | 1 - 0 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Torino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.01% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Sassuolo to win
This prediction indicates that Sassuolo has a 42.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.13 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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