NB I
Match Analysis
Vasas
Puskas Academy
Vasas
W
W
D
D
W
W
Puskas Academy
W
W
L
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Vasas with a 47% probability, which is slightly less confident than what the current market odds suggest. Vasas has a modest quality edge and strong recent form, plus a rest advantage, and has shown strong attacking form recently. However, recent meetings between the two teams have mostly ended in draws, and Puskas Academy have been creating more shooting chances, which keeps the model's confidence in a Vasas win relatively modest. The model also sees a 60% chance of both teams scoring and for the match to have more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, views that align with the market odds favoring these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas | Puskas Academy | 2 - 2 | April 29, 2023 |
| Puskas Academy | Vasas | 1 - 1 | February 3, 2023 |
| Vasas | Puskas Academy | 1 - 1 | September 3, 2022 |
| Vasas | Puskas Academy | 1 - 2 | April 7, 2018 |
| Puskas Academy | Vasas | 0 - 0 | October 28, 2017 |
| Vasas | Puskas Academy | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2017 |
Vasas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Budapest Honved | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Zalaegerszegi TE | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Ferencvarosi TC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Gyori ETO FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Fehérvár FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Soroksar | 2 - 1 | Win |
Puskas Academy Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Paks | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | MTK Budapest | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Kisvarda FC | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Debreceni VSC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Home | Istanbul Basaksehir | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | FC BW Linz | 1 - 1 | Draw |
NB I Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 2 | Vasas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 8 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.19% likelihood that both Vasas and Puskas Academy will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Vasas to win
This prediction indicates that Vasas has a 47.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.92 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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