NB I
Match Analysis
Ujpest
Vasas
Ujpest
L
D
W
W
L
W
Vasas
L
W
W
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Although Vasas has a modest quality edge and has dominated recent meetings with plenty of goals scored, the model predicts a home win with a 41% probability. The model also sees a good chance for both teams to score (54% probability) and for the match to have more than 1.5 goals (63% probability) and more than 2.5 goals (59% probability). The market odds reflect slightly less confidence in a home win and in the match having more than 2.5 goals than the model's predictions suggest.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas | Ujpest | 4 - 3 | July 6, 2024 |
| Ujpest | Vasas | 2 - 3 | July 5, 2023 |
| Ujpest | Vasas | 1 - 1 | May 6, 2023 |
| Vasas | Ujpest | 0 - 1 | February 12, 2023 |
| Ujpest | Vasas | 2 - 1 | September 11, 2022 |
| Vasas | Ujpest | 2 - 1 | October 8, 2021 |
Ujpest Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Away | Paks | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | MTK Budapest | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Kisvarda FC | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Debreceni VSC | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Nyiregyhaza | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Radnik Bijeljina | 2 - 0 | Win |
Vasas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Puskas Academy | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Budapest Honved | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Zalaegerszegi TE | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Ferencvarosi TC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Gyori ETO FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Fehérvár FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
NB I Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vasas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 8 |
| 5 | Ujpest | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.78% likelihood that both Ujpest and Vasas will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Ujpest or Vasas to win
This prediction indicates that Ujpest has a 40.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.91 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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