NB I
Match Analysis
Nyiregyhaza
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
L
W
L
L
W
D
Paks
W
L
D
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, Paks has been the stronger side in meetings between these two teams, often coming out on top. However, the model predicts a home win with a 41% probability, which is notably less confident than what the market odds imply for Paks. The model also sees a good chance that both teams will score (60%) and that there will be more than one or two goals in the match (62% over 1.5 goals and 61% over 2.5 goals), aligning closely with the market’s view on these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nyiregyhaza | Paks | 2 - 0 | April 11, 2026 |
| Paks | Nyiregyhaza | 2 - 1 | December 20, 2025 |
| Nyiregyhaza | Paks | 1 - 1 | September 20, 2025 |
| Paks | Nyiregyhaza | 2 - 0 | April 5, 2025 |
| Nyiregyhaza | Paks | 4 - 2 | November 29, 2024 |
| Paks | Nyiregyhaza | 2 - 1 | August 18, 2024 |
Nyiregyhaza Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | MTK Budapest | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Kisvarda FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Debreceni VSC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Gyori ETO FC | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Ujpest | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Bukovyna | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Paks Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Ujpest | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Puskas Academy | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Budapest Honved | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Zalaegerszegi TE | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Panathinaikos | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 - 2 | Win |
NB I Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Nyiregyhaza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.89% likelihood that both Nyiregyhaza and Paks will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Nyiregyhaza or Paks to win
This prediction indicates that Nyiregyhaza has a 40.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.97 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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