NB I
Match Analysis
Budapest Honved
Zalaegerszegi TE
Budapest Honved
L
D
D
D
L
W
Zalaegerszegi TE
L
L
L
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match features a modest quality edge for Zalaegerszegi TE, but Budapest Honved have dominated recent meetings and come in with a notable rest advantage. Despite both sides showing poor recent form, the model predicts a home win with a 46% probability, which is close to what the market odds suggest for the home side. The model also sees a good chance of both teams scoring (58%) and believes there will likely be more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals (52% and 57% respectively), aligning with the market's view on these outcomes.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zalaegerszegi TE | Budapest Honved | 1 - 2 | June 29, 2024 |
| Budapest Honved | Zalaegerszegi TE | 1 - 0 | March 11, 2023 |
| Zalaegerszegi TE | Budapest Honved | 0 - 2 | October 22, 2022 |
| Budapest Honved | Zalaegerszegi TE | 0 - 1 | July 29, 2022 |
| Zalaegerszegi TE | Budapest Honved | 3 - 1 | April 8, 2022 |
| Budapest Honved | Zalaegerszegi TE | 0 - 0 | January 15, 2022 |
Budapest Honved Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Vasas | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Paks | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | MTK Budapest | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Kisvarda FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | NK Osijek | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Monori Se | 0 - 6 | Win |
Zalaegerszegi TE Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Gyori ETO FC | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Ferencvarosi TC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Vasas | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Paks | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | MTK Budapest | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Konyaspor | 1 - 3 | Win |
NB I Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Budapest Honved | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.62% likelihood that both Budapest Honved and Zalaegerszegi TE will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Budapest Honved to win
This prediction indicates that Budapest Honved has a 45.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.95 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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