Serie A
Match Analysis
Torino
AC Milan
Torino
W
D
W
L
W
D
AC Milan
W
L
D
D
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
AC Milan is seen as the stronger side in this matchup, but Torino's recent performances have been solid, while Milan have struggled. Despite Milan's historical dominance in recent head-to-head games, which often featured many goals, the model predicts an away win with a 47% probability. This prediction is less confident than what the current market odds suggest, which favor Milan even more strongly. The model also sees a good chance (51%) that both teams will score, aligning somewhat with the market view, and expects fewer than 2.5 goals (48% chance), which is slightly less optimistic about a high-scoring game than the odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | Torino | 3 - 2 | March 21, 2026 |
| Torino | AC Milan | 2 - 3 | December 8, 2025 |
| Torino | AC Milan | 2 - 1 | February 22, 2025 |
| AC Milan | Torino | 2 - 2 | August 17, 2024 |
| Torino | AC Milan | 3 - 1 | May 18, 2024 |
| AC Milan | Torino | 4 - 1 | August 26, 2023 |
Torino Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Carrarese | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Avellino | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Burnley | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Cittadella | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Alcione | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Juventus | 2 - 2 | Draw |
AC Milan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Manchester United | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Chelsea | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Inter | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Celtic | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Cagliari | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Genoa | 1 - 2 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
AC Milan to win
This prediction indicates that AC Milan has a 47.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.11 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments