NB I
Match Analysis
Paks
Ujpest
Paks
L
D
L
D
W
L
Ujpest
D
W
W
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Paks with a 48% probability, suggesting a slight edge despite their poor recent form. The market odds show some confidence in a home win, but the model's view is notably more cautious compared to what the odds imply. The model also expects both teams to score and for the match to have more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, with probabilities of 66%, 64%, and 67% respectively. These predictions align with the market's strong inclination towards goals, as indicated by the very low odds for over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals, and both teams to score.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ujpest | Paks | 0 - 0 | March 7, 2026 |
| Paks | Ujpest | 1 - 3 | November 23, 2025 |
| Ujpest | Paks | 1 - 2 | August 10, 2025 |
| Paks | Ujpest | 6 - 1 | March 14, 2025 |
| Ujpest | Paks | 0 - 0 | November 9, 2024 |
| Paks | Ujpest | 2 - 1 | August 4, 2024 |
Paks Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Puskas Academy | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Budapest Honved | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Zalaegerszegi TE | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Panathinaikos | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Panathinaikos | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Ujpest Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | MTK Budapest | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Kisvarda FC | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Debreceni VSC | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Nyiregyhaza | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Radnik Bijeljina | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Diosgyori VTK | 2 - 2 | Draw |
NB I Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ujpest | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | Paks | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.96% likelihood that both Paks and Ujpest will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Paks to win
This prediction indicates that Paks has a 47.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.25 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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