NB I
Match Analysis
MTK Budapest
Nyiregyhaza
MTK Budapest
D
L
D
W
D
W
Nyiregyhaza
W
L
L
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, MTK Budapest has had the upper hand in meetings between these two teams. The model predicts a home win with a 42% probability, which aligns closely with the market odds that also favor MTK Budapest. Additionally, the model suggests a moderate likelihood of goals, expecting both teams to score and for the match to exceed 1.5 and 2.5 goals, views that are somewhat more optimistic than what the current odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTK Budapest | Nyiregyhaza | 1 - 1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Nyiregyhaza | MTK Budapest | 4 - 2 | February 8, 2026 |
| MTK Budapest | Nyiregyhaza | 5 - 1 | October 18, 2025 |
| MTK Budapest | Nyiregyhaza | 3 - 0 | March 16, 2025 |
| Nyiregyhaza | MTK Budapest | 2 - 0 | November 8, 2024 |
| MTK Budapest | Nyiregyhaza | 3 - 0 | August 3, 2024 |
MTK Budapest Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Ujpest | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Puskas Academy | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Budapest Honved | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Zalaegerszegi TE | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Komárno | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Kozarmisleny FC | 3 - 0 | Win |
Nyiregyhaza Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Kisvarda FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Debreceni VSC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Gyori ETO FC | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Ujpest | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Bukovyna | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Mezokovesd-zsory | 0 - 2 | Win |
NB I Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nyiregyhaza | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 5 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.55% likelihood that both MTK Budapest and Nyiregyhaza will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
MTK Budapest or Nyiregyhaza to win
This prediction indicates that MTK Budapest has a 41.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.05 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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