K League 2
Match Analysis
Jeonnam Dragons
Hwaseong
Jeonnam Dragons
L
L
D
W
L
D
Hwaseong
D
D
W
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Jeonnam Dragons and Hwaseong have shown contrasting recent forms, with Jeonnam Dragons displaying poor performance while Hwaseong have been strong. Additionally, there is a clear quality gap favoring Hwaseong. Despite Jeonnam Dragons' historical dominance in past meetings, which often included many goals, the model predicts an away win with a 51% probability, which aligns closely with the market odds that also favor Hwaseong. The model also suggests a high likelihood of both teams scoring and the match exceeding 1.5 and 2.5 goals, views that are supported by the market odds indicating a tendency towards more goals being scored.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hwaseong | Jeonnam Dragons | 1 - 0 | April 11, 2026 |
| Jeonnam Dragons | Hwaseong | 1 - 2 | September 14, 2025 |
| Jeonnam Dragons | Hwaseong | 3 - 2 | May 31, 2025 |
| Hwaseong | Jeonnam Dragons | 1 - 2 | April 12, 2025 |
Jeonnam Dragons Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Cheongju | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Paju Citizen | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Gyeongnam FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Asan Mugunghwa | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Suwon City FC | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Busan I Park | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Hwaseong Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Busan I Park | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Seoul E-Land FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Daegu FC | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Asan Mugunghwa | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Yongin City | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Paju Citizen | 1 - 2 | Loss |
K League 2 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hwaseong | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | +12 | 36 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 13 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.18% likelihood that both Jeonnam Dragons and Hwaseong will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Hwaseong to win
This prediction indicates that Hwaseong has a 50.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.18 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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