K League 2
Match Analysis
Hwaseong
Cheongju
Hwaseong
L
D
D
W
W
W
Cheongju
D
W
L
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Hwaseong with a 52% probability. The model sees Hwaseong as the stronger side, with a clear quality gap in their favor and a history of dominating recent meetings, often with many goals scored. It also notes that Cheongju has had defensive problems lately, and both teams are in moderate form and similarly rested. The model’s confidence in a home win is somewhat higher than what the market odds imply, which also favor Hwaseong but to a slightly lesser extent.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheongju | Hwaseong | 2 - 3 | May 23, 2026 |
| Hwaseong | Cheongju | 1 - 0 | October 11, 2025 |
| Cheongju | Hwaseong | 1 - 1 | August 16, 2025 |
| Hwaseong | Cheongju | 2 - 1 | March 15, 2025 |
Hwaseong Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Jeonnam Dragons | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Busan I Park | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Seoul E-Land FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Daegu FC | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Asan Mugunghwa | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Yongin City | 0 - 3 | Win |
Cheongju Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Gyeongnam FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Jeonnam Dragons | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Gimpo Citizen | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Suwon Bluewings | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Gimhae City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Cheonan City | 1 - 0 | Win |
K League 2 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hwaseong | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 23 | +11 | 36 |
| 12 | Cheongju | 22 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 23 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.73% likelihood that both Hwaseong and Cheongju will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Hwaseong to win
This prediction indicates that Hwaseong has a 52.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.38 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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