K League 2
Match Analysis
Gyeongnam FC
Paju Citizen
Gyeongnam FC
D
D
L
D
D
W
Paju Citizen
D
W
L
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Gyeongnam FC with a 45% probability. Despite Gyeongnam's poor recent form, the model sees enough factors favoring the home side to tip the scales, though it is not highly confident given Paju Citizen's modest quality edge and moderate form. The market odds imply slightly more confidence in a home win than the model does, as they are closer to even money. The model also suggests it is slightly more likely that neither team will score and that the game will stay under 1.5 goals, though these views are modestly different from what the market odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paju Citizen | Gyeongnam FC | 2 - 3 | April 25, 2026 |
Gyeongnam FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Cheongju | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Gimhae City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Daegu FC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Gimpo Citizen | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Jeonnam Dragons | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Ansan Greeners | 5 - 0 | Win |
Paju Citizen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Seoul E-Land FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Seongnam FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Suwon City FC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Jeonnam Dragons | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Ansan Greeners | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Suwon Bluewings | 0 - 0 | Draw |
K League 2 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Gyeongnam FC | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
| 11 | Paju Citizen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Gyeongnam FC to win
This prediction indicates that Gyeongnam FC has a 45.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.83 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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