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K League 2

Aug. 29, 2026 4 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Gimpo Citizen Suwon Bluewings
Gimpo Citizen D W D D D L
Suwon Bluewings W D W D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Gimpo Citizen have had moderate recent form, while Suwon Bluewings arrive with strong recent form and a modest quality edge. Despite the home side having a rest advantage and recent meetings often ending level, the model predicts a 44% chance of an away win, which is more confident than what the market odds suggest. The model also sees a 51% chance that both teams will score, and believes games are more likely to stay under 1.5 and 2.5 goals.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Suwon Bluewings Gimpo Citizen 0 - 1 April 12, 2026
Suwon Bluewings Gimpo Citizen 1 - 1 November 23, 2025
Gimpo Citizen Suwon Bluewings 3 - 1 August 16, 2025
Suwon Bluewings Gimpo Citizen 1 - 1 May 25, 2025
Gimpo Citizen Suwon Bluewings 0 - 0 October 27, 2024
Gimpo Citizen Suwon Bluewings 1 - 1 July 29, 2024

Gimpo Citizen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Home Cheonan City 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 7, 26 Home Cheongju 3 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 26 Home Gyeongnam FC 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 26, 26 Home Yongin City 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Daegu FC 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 12, 26 Away Busan I Park 2 - 0 Loss

Suwon Bluewings Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Cheonan City 0 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Home Suwon City FC 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 7, 26 Home Gimhae City 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Cheongju 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Busan I Park 1 - 4 Win
Jul 19, 26 Home Paju Citizen 0 - 0 Draw

K League 2 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 22 13 5 4 32 19 +13 44
8 Gimpo Citizen 21 7 10 4 26 22 +4 31

Predictions

Suwon Bluewings to win
This prediction indicates that Suwon Bluewings has a 44.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.10 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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