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K League 2

Aug. 28, 2026 20 hours ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Jeonnam Dragons Cheonan City
Jeonnam Dragons W L L D W L
Cheonan City L D L D L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Historically, Cheonan City has had the upper hand in direct matchups, though those games have often been tight and low-scoring. Despite this, the model predicts a home win for Jeonnam Dragons with a 41% probability, factoring in their modest quality edge and better recent form compared to Cheonan City's poor recent performance. The model also leans toward both teams scoring and the match exceeding 1.5 and 2.5 goals, seeing these outcomes as more likely than what the current market odds fully reflect.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cheonan City Jeonnam Dragons 1 - 0 March 28, 2026
Jeonnam Dragons Cheonan City 4 - 1 October 5, 2025
Jeonnam Dragons Cheonan City 3 - 4 August 10, 2025
Cheonan City Jeonnam Dragons 0 - 2 February 22, 2025
Jeonnam Dragons Cheonan City 0 - 2 October 26, 2024
Cheonan City Jeonnam Dragons 1 - 0 August 11, 2024

Jeonnam Dragons Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 23, 26 Home Hwaseong 1 - 0 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Cheongju 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Home Paju Citizen 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Gyeongnam FC 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Home Asan Mugunghwa 1 - 0 Win
Jul 10, 26 Away Suwon City FC 5 - 0 Loss

Cheonan City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Suwon Bluewings 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Gimpo Citizen 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Seongnam FC 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Yongin City 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 24, 26 Away Seoul E-Land FC 4 - 3 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Away Cheongju 1 - 0 Loss

K League 2 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
14 Cheonan City 22 4 9 9 27 31 -4 21
16 Jeonnam Dragons 21 3 7 11 23 36 -13 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.84% likelihood that both Jeonnam Dragons and Cheonan City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Jeonnam Dragons to win
This prediction indicates that Jeonnam Dragons has a 41.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.43 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison
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