NB I
Match Analysis
Debreceni VSC
MTK Budapest
Debreceni VSC
D
D
L
W
L
L
MTK Budapest
W
D
L
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Debreceni VSC with a 43% probability. Despite Debreceni VSC's poor recent form, the teams are closely matched in overall quality and recent meetings have been fairly even. The market odds suggest a close contest, with the home win being slightly less favored than the model’s prediction. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance (60%) that both teams will score, aligning with the market’s view that this outcome is likely.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debreceni VSC | MTK Budapest | 2 - 2 | February 27, 2026 |
| MTK Budapest | Debreceni VSC | 3 - 0 | November 9, 2025 |
| Debreceni VSC | MTK Budapest | 1 - 0 | August 1, 2025 |
| Debreceni VSC | MTK Budapest | 0 - 0 | May 3, 2025 |
| MTK Budapest | Debreceni VSC | 0 - 2 | February 7, 2025 |
| Debreceni VSC | MTK Budapest | 2 - 3 | September 28, 2024 |
Debreceni VSC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Kisvarda FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Gyori ETO FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 12, 26 | Away | FC Copenhagen | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Nyiregyhaza | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | FC Copenhagen | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Ujpest | 4 - 2 | Loss |
MTK Budapest Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Nyiregyhaza | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Ujpest | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Puskas Academy | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Budapest Honved | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Zalaegerszegi TE | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Komárno | 1 - 1 | Draw |
NB I Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MTK Budapest | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 | Debreceni VSC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.44% likelihood that both Debreceni VSC and MTK Budapest will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Debreceni VSC to win
This prediction indicates that Debreceni VSC has a 42.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.14 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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