Serie A
Match Analysis
Bologna
Lazio
Bologna
L
L
W
W
D
L
Lazio
L
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
While Lazio has a modest quality edge over Bologna, the home side shows moderate recent form compared to Lazio's strong recent form, and their past meetings have been fairly even. The model predicts a home win with a 44% probability, which is notably less confident than what the current market odds imply. Additionally, the model suggests it's unlikely both teams will score and that the game will finish with fewer than 2.5 goals, views that align with—but are slightly more cautious than—the market odds.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | Lazio | 0 - 2 | March 22, 2026 |
| Bologna | Lazio | 1 - 1 | February 11, 2026 |
| Lazio | Bologna | 1 - 1 | December 7, 2025 |
| Bologna | Lazio | 5 - 0 | March 16, 2025 |
| Lazio | Bologna | 3 - 0 | November 24, 2024 |
| Lazio | Bologna | 1 - 2 | February 18, 2024 |
Bologna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Brighton | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Pisa | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Cambuur | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Iraklis 1908 | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | FC Heidenheim | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 - 4 | Loss |
Lazio Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Mantova | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Frosinone | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Ostia Mare | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Ascoli | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Avellino | 6 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Flaminia | 6 - 0 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Bologna to win
This prediction indicates that Bologna has a 44.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.90 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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