Serie A
Match Analysis
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Atalanta
D
W
W
L
W
D
Sassuolo
W
L
L
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model sees a clear quality gap favoring Atalanta, who also come in with strong recent form compared to Sassuolo's poor form, and have dominated their recent meetings. Despite Sassuolo having a rest advantage and the sides showing fairly even shot volume recently, the model predicts a home win with a 62% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. The model also leans toward both teams scoring and toward there being more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals in the match, seeing these outcomes as slightly more likely than the market odds imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | March 1, 2026 |
| Atalanta | Sassuolo | 0 - 3 | November 9, 2025 |
| Atalanta | Sassuolo | 3 - 0 | February 17, 2024 |
| Atalanta | Sassuolo | 3 - 1 | January 3, 2024 |
| Sassuolo | Atalanta | 0 - 2 | August 20, 2023 |
| Sassuolo | Atalanta | 1 - 0 | February 4, 2023 |
Atalanta Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Athletic Club | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | FC Schalke 04 | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Feyenoord | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Arezzo | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 22, 26 | Away | Fiorentina | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Sassuolo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Cesena | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | FC Augsburg | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Celta Vigo | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Folgore Caratese | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Parma | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Trento | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.69% likelihood that both Atalanta and Sassuolo will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Atalanta to win
This prediction indicates that Atalanta has a 62.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.56 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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