Serie A
Match Analysis
AS Roma
Fiorentina
AS Roma
D
L
W
L
D
W
Fiorentina
L
D
D
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts AS Roma will win with a 57% probability. This outlook is influenced by Roma's clear quality advantage and their strong recent attacking performance, despite both teams showing poor form. The model also sees a high likelihood of over 1.5 goals (54%), aligning with Roma's history of dominant, high-scoring matches against Fiorentina and their recent attacking strength. The market odds suggest a narrower view on the home win and over 1.5 goals, indicating the model is more confident than the current betting prices imply.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | Fiorentina | 4 - 0 | May 4, 2026 |
| Fiorentina | AS Roma | 1 - 2 | October 5, 2025 |
| AS Roma | Fiorentina | 1 - 0 | May 4, 2025 |
| Fiorentina | AS Roma | 5 - 1 | October 27, 2024 |
| Fiorentina | AS Roma | 2 - 2 | March 10, 2024 |
| AS Roma | Fiorentina | 1 - 1 | December 10, 2023 |
AS Roma Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Borussia Dortmund | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Brighton | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Newport County | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Cardiff | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Cannes | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Verona | 0 - 2 | Win |
Fiorentina Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Benevento | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Real Madrid | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Watford | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | QPR | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Gubbio | 1 - 0 | Win |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.01% likelihood that both AS Roma and Fiorentina will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
AS Roma to win
This prediction indicates that AS Roma has a 57.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.90 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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