Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Match Analysis
Syrianska FC
Smedby
Syrianska FC
L
L
W
L
D
L
Smedby
W
D
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The match features Smedby, who are considered clearly stronger than Syrianska FC. Syrianska FC have been struggling in recent games, while Smedby have been performing moderately well, and have historically dominated this matchup. The model predicts an away win with a 55% probability, which is notably more confident than the market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the game to feature more than 1.5 goals, aligning with its identification of defensive weaknesses for Syrianska FC and the overall trend towards a more open match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smedby | Syrianska FC | 4 - 0 | May 23, 2026 |
| Syrianska FC | Smedby | 1 - 0 | August 9, 2025 |
| Smedby | Syrianska FC | 1 - 1 | June 6, 2025 |
| Syrianska FC | Smedby | 2 - 3 | September 28, 2024 |
| Smedby | Syrianska FC | 1 - 4 | June 1, 2024 |
| Smedby | Syrianska FC | 1 - 0 | September 16, 2023 |
Syrianska FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Forward | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Rågsved | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Eker Örebro | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | Örebro Syrianska | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 22, 26 | Home | Rågsved | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 14, 26 | Home | Forward | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Smedby Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Eker Örebro | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Karlslund | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Örebro Syrianska | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 24, 26 | Away | Sylvia | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Haninge | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 15, 26 | Away | Nyköping | 0 - 1 | Win |
Division 2 - Södra Svealand Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Smedby | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 22 | +11 | 30 |
| 12 | Syrianska FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 15 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.24% likelihood that both Syrianska FC and Smedby will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Smedby to win
This prediction indicates that Smedby has a 54.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.21 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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