Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Match Analysis
Nyköping
Rågsved
Nyköping
D
L
W
L
L
W
Rågsved
L
L
W
D
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Both Nyköping and Rågsved are coming into this match with poor recent form, though Rågsved have been showing some strong attacking play in their last games. Despite the teams being closely matched in overall quality and recent meetings often ending in draws, the model predicts a home win with a 50% probability. This prediction is notably more confident than the market odds suggest, which imply a less certain outlook on Nyköping’s chances. The model also leans toward both teams scoring and toward more than 2.5 goals overall, aligning with the market's view on these points.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rågsved | Nyköping | 1 - 2 | May 23, 2026 |
| Nyköping | Rågsved | 1 - 1 | September 7, 2025 |
| Rågsved | Nyköping | 0 - 0 | June 22, 2025 |
| Nyköping | Rågsved | 3 - 0 | July 29, 2023 |
| Rågsved | Nyköping | 1 - 1 | April 7, 2023 |
Nyköping Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Haninge | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Farsta | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Sleipner | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Forward | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | AFC Eskilstuna | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 25, 26 | Home | Nacka Iliria | 4 - 1 | Win |
Rågsved Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Sleipner | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Fittja | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Syrianska FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Farsta | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Forward | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 22, 26 | Away | Syrianska FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Division 2 - Södra Svealand Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nyköping | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | +12 | 33 |
| 8 | Rågsved | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 30 | +3 | 26 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.59% likelihood that both Nyköping and Rågsved will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Nyköping to win
This prediction indicates that Nyköping has a 49.82% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.06 %Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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